Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 81.948919 91.701893 101.679833 112.620780 124.250404 136.214519 149.424412
2025-01-19 64.706081 78.459796 93.181071 109.985836 128.517791 148.219398 170.637917
2025-01-26 57.994214 74.398138 92.507132 113.729850 137.680506 163.654164 193.736375
2025-02-02 52.352729 70.663004 91.436224 116.334280 144.976149 176.541023 213.613806
2025-02-09 45.768412 65.088679 87.619583 115.223244 147.561538 183.737704 226.772901
2025-02-16 40.233591 60.225412 84.165126 114.101131 149.758317 190.183507 238.815425
2025-02-23 36.503913 57.240640 82.664705 115.024967 154.114819 198.926769 253.333865
2025-03-02 32.778967 53.931423 80.494409 114.902716 157.037037 205.854630 265.641432
2025-03-09 29.859162 51.428994 79.130562 115.592646 160.790082 213.649340 278.877470
2025-03-16 26.468340 48.006590 76.363935 114.340260 162.027871 218.348207 288.393073
2025-03-23 24.574888 46.515045 75.990001 116.007288 166.766496 227.167202 302.735169
2025-03-30 23.049292 45.424236 76.053326 118.160474 172.056641 236.621031 317.823737
2025-04-06 20.472870 42.613393 73.688705 117.109243 173.334901 241.263101 327.261558
2025-04-13 17.640052 39.162682 70.254779 114.498469 172.526706 243.281363 333.495886
2025-04-20 17.055562 39.197076 71.672585 118.320717 179.900159 255.332633 351.851806
2025-04-27 16.180335 38.683371 72.258543 120.990640 185.779731 265.544138 367.997211
2025-05-04 14.318044 36.363683 70.112677 119.852323 186.665945 269.519580 376.522934
2025-05-11 12.629703 34.172975 68.032485 118.702956 187.459279 273.322749 384.797899
2025-05-18 11.603885 33.059735 67.497125 119.649274 190.968403 280.509322 397.221650
2025-05-25 10.417635 31.530871 66.245094 119.524052 193.014877 285.825649 407.326271
2025-06-01 9.511907 30.441735 65.611496 120.230738 196.138540 292.489334 419.095446
2025-06-08 8.283116 28.570352 63.645989 118.947906 196.536342 295.647005 426.484177
2025-06-15 7.726657 28.017744 63.758716 120.655432 200.959620 303.946875 440.293545